Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 20% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (19.2%)Dubbele Kans1X80.8%1.24
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 54% · Nee 46%Beide teams scorenJa54%1.85
3.18 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapMPS winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LePa win60%1.671.4859.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
MPS win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 70.8%
Total expected goals3.18Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%
Uit share of expected goals 29.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nee 46%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchLePa
WWWWW
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchMPS
DLLLL
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%15
Points from supplied form
12.25
Expected goals
0.93LePaMPS
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
LePa vs MPS FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
LePa gewonnen 60%，Gelijkspel 20%，MPS gewonnen 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.18 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven。