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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Trận đấu ·

LePa vs MPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng60%
Hòa20%
Đội khách thắng19%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng60% selection probability
Projected score2–1LePaMPS
Expected goals3.18Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài62% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
60% / 20% / 19%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (19.2%)Cơ hội kép1X80.8%1.24
Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%Goals 2.5Tài62%1.61
Có 54% · Không 46%Cả hai đội ghi bàn54%1.85
3.18 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapMPS winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LePa win60%1.671.4859.9%+0.1 pp
Hòa20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
MPS win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LePa2.25

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals3.18Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%

MPS0.93

Khách share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · Không 46%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

LePa

3.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Điểm15

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

MPS

0.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Điểm1

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Thắng probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
1
2.25
Expected goals
0.93
LePaMPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LePa signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MPS signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

LePa vs MPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LePa thắng 60%,Hòa 20%,MPS thắng 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Tài 2.5 62% · Current selection Tài