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FIN Finsko - Kolmonen · Zápas ·

LePa vs MPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích60%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostů19%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích60% selection probability
Projected score2–1LePaMPS
Expected goals3.18Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více62% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
60% / 20% / 19%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (19.2%)Dvojitá šance1X80.8%1.24
Více 62% · Méně 38%Goals 2.5Více62%1.61
Ano 54% · Ne 46%Oba týmy skórujíAno54%1.85
3.18 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapMPS winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LePa win60%1.671.4859.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
MPS win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LePa2.25

Domácí share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals3.18Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 62% · Méně 38%

MPS0.93

Hosté share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 54% · Ne 46%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

LePa

3.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

MPS

0.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
1
2.25
Expected goals
0.93
LePaMPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LePa signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MPS signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

LePa vs MPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LePa výhra 60%,Remíza 20%,MPS výhra 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Více 2.5 62% · Current selection Více