Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 23% / 35%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Double chance1277.4%1.29
Over 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Over88%1.14
Yes 85% · No 15%Both teams scoreYes85%1.18
5.04 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
SIF win43%2.33
Draw23%4.35
FC Ylivieska win35%2.86
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.4%
Total expected goals5.04Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 88% · Under 12%
Away share of expected goals 46.6%
Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 85% · No 15%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchSIF
WLLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFC Ylivieska
WWDWL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
35%9
Points from supplied form
102.69
Expected goals
2.35SIFFC Ylivieska
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
SIF vs FC Ylivieska FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
SIF win 43%，Draw 23%，FC Ylivieska win 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 5.04 · Over 2.5 88% · Current selection Over。