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FIN Finland - Kolmonen · Kamp ·

SIF vs FC Ylivieska

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–25.04 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr43%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr35%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr43% selection probability
Projected score3–2SIFFC Ylivieska
Expected goals5.04Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over88% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa85% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
43% / 23% / 35%KampresultatHjemmesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dobbeltchance1277.4%1.29
Over 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Over88%1.14
Ja 85% · Nej 15%Begge hold scorerJa85%1.18
5.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
8.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
SIF win43%2.33
Uafgjort23%4.35
FC Ylivieska win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SIF2.69

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals5.04Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 88% · Under 12%

FC Ylivieska2.35

Ude share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 85% · Nej 15%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

SIF

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FC Ylivieska

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vundet probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.69
Expected goals
2.35
SIFFC Ylivieska
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SIF signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Ylivieska signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

SIF vs FC Ylivieska FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SIF vundet 43%,Uafgjort 23%,FC Ylivieska vundet 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · Over 2.5 88% · Current selection Over