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FIN Finland - Kolmonen · Match ·

SIF vs FC Ylivieska

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–25.04 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger35%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score3–2SIFFC Ylivieska
Expected goals5.04Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över88% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa85% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 23% / 35%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dubbelchans1277.4%1.29
Över 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Över88%1.14
Ja 85% · Nej 15%Båda lagen gör målJa85%1.18
5.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
SIF win43%2.33
Oavgjort23%4.35
FC Ylivieska win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SIF2.69

Hemma share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals5.04Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 88% · Under 12%

FC Ylivieska2.35

Borta share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 85% · Nej 15%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

SIF

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Ylivieska

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.69
Expected goals
2.35
SIFFC Ylivieska
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SIF signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Ylivieska signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

SIF vs FC Ylivieska FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SIF vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 23%,FC Ylivieska vunnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · Över 2.5 88% · Current selection Över