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FIN Finnland - Kolmonen · Spiel ·

SIF vs FC Ylivieska

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–25.04 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg35%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score3–2SIFFC Ylivieska
Expected goals5.04Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über88% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa85% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 23% / 35%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Doppelte Chance1277.4%1.29
Über 88% · Unter 12%Goals 2.5Über88%1.14
Ja 85% · Nein 15%Beide Teams treffenJa85%1.18
5.04 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–2
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
SIF win43%2.33
Unentschieden23%4.35
FC Ylivieska win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SIF2.69

Heim share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals5.04Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 88% · Unter 12%

FC Ylivieska2.35

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 85% · Nein 15%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SIF

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Ylivieska

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.69
Expected goals
2.35
SIFFC Ylivieska
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SIF signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Ylivieska signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

SIF vs FC Ylivieska FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SIF Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 23%,FC Ylivieska Gewinn 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · Über 2.5 88% · Current selection Über