Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 28% / 28%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Shahaniya SC win (27.8%)Double chance1X72.2%1.39
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.73 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Gharafa win44%2.27
Draw28%3.57
Al-Shahaniya SC win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.1%
Total expected goals2.73Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 39.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchAl Gharafa
DDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAl-Shahaniya SC
DWLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
28%2
Points from supplied form
71.64
Expected goals
1.09Al GharafaAl-Shahaniya SC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al Gharafa win 44%，Draw 28%，Al-Shahaniya SC win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.73 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。