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QAT Qatar - Stars League · Kamp ·

Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr44%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr28%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al GharafaAl-Shahaniya SC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
44% / 28% / 28%KampresultatHjemmesejr44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Shahaniya SC win (27.8%)Dobbeltchance1X72.2%1.39
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Begge hold scorerJa54%1.85
2.73 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Gharafa win44%2.27
Uafgjort28%3.57
Al-Shahaniya SC win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Gharafa1.64

Hjemme share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Al-Shahaniya SC1.09

Ude share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al Gharafa

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Al-Shahaniya SC

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vundet probability excluding draw
28%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.64
Expected goals
1.09
Al GharafaAl-Shahaniya SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Gharafa signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Shahaniya SC signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Gharafa vundet 44%,Uafgjort 28%,Al-Shahaniya SC vundet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over