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アルガラファ vs アルシャハニアSC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1アルガラファアルシャハニアSC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 28% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アルシャハニアSC win (27.8%)ダブルチャンス1X72.2%1.39
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.73 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アルガラファ win44%2.27
引き分け28%3.57
アルシャハニアSC win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルガラファ1.64

ホーム share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

アルシャハニアSC1.09

アウェイ share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルガラファ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルシャハニアSC

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalいいえ recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.64
Expected goals
1.09
アルガラファアルシャハニアSC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルガラファ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルシャハニアSC signalいいえ recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

アルガラファ vs アルシャハニアSC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルガラファ 勝ち 44%,引き分け 28%,アルシャハニアSC 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー