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QAT Qatar - Stars League · Partita ·

Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite28%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al GharafaAl-Shahaniya SC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 28% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Shahaniya SC win (27.8%)Doppia Chance1X72.2%1.39
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.73 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Al Gharafa win44%2.27
Pareggio28%3.57
Al-Shahaniya SC win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Gharafa1.64

Casa share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Al-Shahaniya SC1.09

Trasferta share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Al Gharafa

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Al-Shahaniya SC

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.64
Expected goals
1.09
Al GharafaAl-Shahaniya SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Gharafa signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Shahaniya SC signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Gharafa vinta 44%,Pareggio 28%,Al-Shahaniya SC vinta 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra