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INT UEFA Conference League Qualifying · Fixture ·

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw25%
Away win28%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lincoln Red Imps FCLarne
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 25% / 28%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Double chance1275.3%1.33
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lincoln Red Imps FC win47%2.13
Draw25%4.00
Larne win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lincoln Red Imps FC1.60

Home share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Larne1.19

Away share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lincoln Red Imps FC

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Larne

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.60
Expected goals
1.19
Lincoln Red Imps FCLarne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lincoln Red Imps FC signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Larne signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lincoln Red Imps FC win 47%,Draw 25%,Larne win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over