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INT UEFA Conference League Qualifying · Spiel ·

Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg28%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lincoln Red ImpsLarne
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 25% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppelte Chance1275.3%1.33
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 56% · Nein 44%Beide Teams treffenJa56%1.79
2.79 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Lincoln Red Imps win47%2.13
Unentschieden25%4.00
Larne win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lincoln Red Imps1.60

Heim share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

Larne1.19

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nein 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Lincoln Red Imps

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Larne

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.60
Expected goals
1.19
Lincoln Red ImpsLarne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lincoln Red Imps signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Larne signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lincoln Red Imps Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 25%,Larne Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über