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QAT Qatar Stars League · Fixture ·

Al-Arabi Doha vs Al Shamal SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.14 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw27%
Away win40%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Al-Arabi DohaAl Shamal SC
Expected goals3.14Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 27% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Double chance1273%1.37
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al-Arabi Doha win33%3.03
Draw27%3.70
Al Shamal SC win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Arabi Doha1.45

Home share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.14Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Al Shamal SC1.69

Away share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al-Arabi Doha

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Shamal SC

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.45
Expected goals
1.69
Al-Arabi DohaAl Shamal SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Arabi Doha signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Shamal SC signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Al-Arabi Doha vs Al Shamal SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Arabi Doha win 33%,Draw 27%,Al Shamal SC win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over