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ESP Spain Copa Federacion · Final ·

Marino de Luanco vs CD Colunga

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win59%
Draw25%
Away win16%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 59% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Marino de LuancoCD Colunga
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 25% / 16%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Colunga win (15.9%)Double chance1X84.1%1.19
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marino de Luanco win59%1.691.5060%
Draw25%4.003.6025%
CD Colunga win16%6.256.0015%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marino de Luanco1.72

Home share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

CD Colunga0.90

Away share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Marino de Luanco

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Colunga

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalHome won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Win probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
0
1.72
Expected goals
0.90
Marino de LuancoCD Colunga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marino de Luanco signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Colunga signalHome won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Marino de Luanco vs CD Colunga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marino de Luanco win 59%,Draw 25%,CD Colunga win 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under