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ESP Spanje - Copa Federacion · Final ·

Marino de Luanco vs CD Colunga

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst59%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst16%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 59% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Marino de LuancoCD Colunga
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
59% / 25% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Colunga win (15.9%)Dubbele Kans1X84.1%1.19
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.62 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marino de Luanco win59%1.691.5060%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%
CD Colunga win16%6.256.0015%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marino de Luanco1.72

Thuis share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

CD Colunga0.90

Uit share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Marino de Luanco

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CD Colunga

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalThuis won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
0
1.72
Expected goals
0.90
Marino de LuancoCD Colunga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marino de Luanco signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Colunga signalThuis won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Marino de Luanco vs CD Colunga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marino de Luanco gewonnen 59%,Gelijkspel 25%,CD Colunga gewonnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder