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ESP Spanje - Copa Federacion · Final ·

CF Talavera vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst34%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 41% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CF TalaveraCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 26% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dubbele Kans1274.3%1.35
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.58 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Talavera win41%2.442.2539.9%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.6%
CD Guadalajara S.A.D. win34%2.942.6034.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Talavera1.40

Thuis share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.1.18

Uit share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CF Talavera

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalUit unbeaten 1/1

Uit-context · form sequence

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Punten1

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
1
1.40
Expected goals
1.18
CF TalaveraCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Talavera signalUit unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Guadalajara S.A.D. signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CF Talavera vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Talavera gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 26%,CD Guadalajara S.A.D. gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder