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ESP Испания - Кубок Федерации · Final ·

Марино де Луанко vs КД Колунга

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев59%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей16%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 59% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Марино де ЛуанкоКД Колунга
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
59% / 25% / 16%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes КД Колунга win (15.9%)Двойной шанс1X84.1%1.19
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.62 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Марино де Луанко win59%1.691.5060%
Ничья25%4.003.6025%
КД Колунга win16%6.256.0015%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Марино де Луанко1.72

Хозяева share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

КД Колунга0.90

Гости share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Марино де Луанко

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

КД Колунга

0.00pts / match
Сыграно1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Баллы0

SignalХозяева won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
0
1.72
Expected goals
0.90
Марино де ЛуанкоКД Колунга
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Марино де Луанко signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02КД Колунга signalХозяева won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Марино де Луанко vs КД Колунга FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Марино де Луанко выигрыш 59%,Ничья 25%,КД Колунга выигрыш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше