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ESP Испания - Копа Федерасион · Final ·

Марино де Луанко vs Колунга

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина59%
Равен25%
Победа за госта16%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 59% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Марино де ЛуанкоКолунга
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
59% / 25% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Колунга win (15.9%)Двоен шанс1X84.1%1.19
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.62 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Марино де Луанко win59%1.691.5060%
Равен25%4.003.6025%
Колунга win16%6.256.0015%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Марино де Луанко1.72

Домакин share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

Колунга0.90

Гост share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Марино де Луанко

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Колунга

0.00pts / match
Изиграни1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Точки0

SignalДомакин won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%
7
Points from supplied form
0
1.72
Expected goals
0.90
Марино де ЛуанкоКолунга
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Марино де Луанко signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Колунга signalДомакин won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Марино де Луанко vs Колунга FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Марино де Луанко печеливш 59%,Равен 25%,Колунга печеливш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под