Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 29% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapPortimonense winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portimonense win32%3.132.8830.9%+1.1 pp
Draw29%3.453.0029.6%-0.6 pp
Leixoes win39%2.562.2539.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.1%
Total expected goals3.03Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%
Away share of expected goals 45.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchPortimonense
DWWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchLeixoes
LWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
32%
Win probability excluding draw
39%11
Points from supplied form
91.64
Expected goals
1.39PortimonenseLeixoes
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Portimonense vs Leixoes FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Portimonense win 32%，Draw 29%，Leixoes win 39%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.03 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over。