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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Match ·

Portimonense vs Leixoes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile32%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur39%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur39% selection probability
Projected score2–1PortimonenseLeixoes
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
32% / 29% / 39%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%Goals 2.5Plus de58%1.72
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapPortimonense winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portimonense win32%3.132.8830.9%+1.1 pp
Nul29%3.453.0029.6%-0.6 pp
Leixoes win39%2.562.2539.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portimonense1.64

Domicile share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%

Leixoes1.39

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Portimonense

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Leixoes

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gagné probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.64
Expected goals
1.39
PortimonenseLeixoes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portimonense signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixoes signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Portimonense vs Leixoes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portimonense victoire 32%,Nul 29%,Leixoes victoire 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Plus de 2.5 58% · Current selection Plus de