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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Match ·

Portimonense vs Leixoes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger32%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score2–1PortimonenseLeixoes
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
32% / 29% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dubbelchans1270.7%1.41
Över 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Över58%1.72
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Båda lagen gör målJa61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapPortimonense winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portimonense win32%3.132.8830.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.0029.6%-0.6 pp
Leixoes win39%2.562.2539.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portimonense1.64

Hemma share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 58% · Under 42%

Leixoes1.39

Borta share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Portimonense

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Leixoes

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.64
Expected goals
1.39
PortimonenseLeixoes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portimonense signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixoes signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Portimonense vs Leixoes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portimonense vunnen 32%,Oavgjort 29%,Leixoes vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Över 2.5 58% · Current selection Över