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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Partido ·

Portimonense vs Leixões

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local32%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante39%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante39% selection probability
Projected score2–1PortimonenseLeixões
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
32% / 29% / 39%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Doble Oportunidad1270.7%1.41
Más de 58% · Menos de 42%Goals 2.5Más de58%1.72
Sí 61% · No 39%Ambos equipos marcan61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapPortimonense winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portimonense win32%3.132.8830.9%+1.1 pp
Empate29%3.453.0029.6%-0.6 pp
Leixões win39%2.562.2539.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portimonense1.64

Local share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 58% · Menos de 42%

Leixões1.39

Visitante share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Portimonense

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Leixões

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Ganado probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.64
Expected goals
1.39
PortimonenseLeixões
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portimonense signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixões signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Portimonense vs Leixões FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portimonense ganada 32%,Empate 29%,Leixões ganada 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Más de 2.5 58% · Current selection Más de