Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Double chance1270.6%1.42
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Leiria win39%2.562.3038.6%—
Draw29%3.453.0029.6%—
Tondela win32%3.132.8031.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 52.7%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%
Away share of expected goals 47.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Leiria
WLLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchTondela
LLWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%4
Points from supplied form
31.28
Expected goals
1.15UD LeiriaTondela
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
UD Leiria vs Tondela FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
UD Leiria win 39%，Draw 29%，Tondela win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under。