Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 29% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Doppia Chance1270.6%1.42
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Leiria win39%2.562.3038.6%—
Pareggio29%3.453.0029.6%—
Tondela win32%3.132.8031.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 52.7%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%
Trasferta share of expected goals 47.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Leiria
WLLLD
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchTondela
LLWLL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3
SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%4
Points from supplied form
31.28
Expected goals
1.15UD LeiriaTondela
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
UD Leiria vs Tondela FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
UD Leiria vinta 39%，Pareggio 29%，Tondela vinta 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto。