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PRT Португалия - Лига Сегунда · Round 1 ·

Униан Лейрия vs Tondela

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей32%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Униан ЛейрияTondela
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 29% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Двойной шанс1270.6%1.42
Больше 44% · Меньше 56%Goals 2.5Меньше56%1.79
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютДа50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Униан Лейрия win39%2.562.3038.6%
Ничья29%3.453.0029.6%
Tondela win32%3.132.8031.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Униан Лейрия1.28

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 44% · Меньше 56%

Tondela1.15

Гости share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Униан Лейрия

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Tondela

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.28
Expected goals
1.15
Униан ЛейрияTondela
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Униан Лейрия signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tondela signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Униан Лейрия vs Tondela FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Униан Лейрия выигрыш 39%,Ничья 29%,Tondela выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · ТБ 2.5 44% · Current selection Меньше