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PRT Portugal Segunda Liga · Fixture ·

Amarante vs Benfica B

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw29%
Away win39%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1AmaranteBenfica B
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 29% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Double chance1271.2%1.40
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Amarante win32%3.132.8831.2%
Draw29%3.453.1029%
Benfica B win39%2.562.2539.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Amarante1.17

Home share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Benfica B1.26

Away share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Amarante

0.25pts / match
Played4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 3/4

Away-context · form sequence

Benfica B

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.17
Expected goals
1.26
AmaranteBenfica B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Amarante signalHome failed to score: 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica B signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Amarante vs Benfica B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Amarante win 32%,Draw 29%,Benfica B win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under