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BRA Copa do Brasil · Fixture ·

Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw31%
Away win32%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico MineiroCruzeiro
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 31% / 32%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Double chance1269.1%1.45
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Mineiro win37%2.702.5536.6%
Draw31%3.233.0031.1%
Cruzeiro win32%3.132.9032.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Mineiro1.16

Home share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Cruzeiro1.01

Away share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atletico Mineiro

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cruzeiro

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.16
Expected goals
1.01
Atletico MineiroCruzeiro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Mineiro signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cruzeiro signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Mineiro win 37%,Draw 31%,Cruzeiro win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under