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BRA Brazil Serie B · Fixture ·

Londrina vs Juventude

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw31%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1LondrinaJuventude
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 31% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Londrina win (28.2%)Double chanceX271.8%1.39
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
1.89 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapLondrina winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Londrina win28%3.573.1029.6%-1.6 pp
Draw31%3.233.0030.6%+0.4 pp
Juventude win41%2.442.3039.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Londrina0.55

Home share of expected goals 29.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Juventude1.34

Away share of expected goals 70.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Londrina

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Juventude

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
1
Points from supplied form
10
0.55
Expected goals
1.34
LondrinaJuventude
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Londrina signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventude signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Londrina vs Juventude FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Londrina win 28%,Draw 31%,Juventude win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under