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ISL Iceland Premier League · Fixture ·

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–35.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw22%
Away win44%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score2–3KR ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik
Expected goals5.29Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over90% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes82% for the selected side
Expected corners12.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 22% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.7%)Double chance1278.3%1.28
Over 90% · Under 10%Goals 2.5Over90%1.11
Yes 82% · No 18%Both teams scoreYes82%1.22
5.29 total expected goalsCorrect score2–3
12.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapVikingur Reykjavik winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KR Reykjavik win34%2.942.5035.5%-1.5 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
Vikingur Reykjavik win44%2.272.1042.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KR Reykjavik1.85

Home share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals5.29Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 90% · Under 10%

Vikingur Reykjavik3.44

Away share of expected goals 65%

Projected score2–3BTTS splitYes 82% · No 18%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

KR Reykjavik

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vikingur Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
3.44
KR ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KR Reykjavik signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vikingur Reykjavik signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–3 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KR Reykjavik win 34%,Draw 22%,Vikingur Reykjavik win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.29 · Over 2.5 90% · Current selection Over