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SWE Sweden Superettan · Fixture ·

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw26%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–1HelsingborgOrebro SK
Expected goals3.33Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 26% / 30%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Helsingborg win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Orebro SK win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Helsingborg1.96

Home share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals3.33Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Orebro SK1.37

Away share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Helsingborg

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Orebro SK

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.96
Expected goals
1.37
HelsingborgOrebro SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Helsingborg signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orebro SK signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Helsingborg vs Orebro SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Helsingborg win 44%,Draw 26%,Orebro SK win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over