Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 22% / 21%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lugano II win (21.2%)Double chance1X78.8%1.27
Over 78% · Under 22%Goals 2.5Over78%1.28
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
4.12 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapYoung Boys II winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Young Boys II win57%1.751.6255.6%+1.4 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Lugano II win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.7%
Total expected goals4.12Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 78% · Under 22%
Away share of expected goals 30.3%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchYoung Boys II
LDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchLugano II
LLLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Win probability excluding draw
21%1
Points from supplied form
12.87
Expected goals
1.25Young Boys IILugano II
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Young Boys II vs Lugano II FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Young Boys II win 57%，Draw 22%，Lugano II win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.12 · Over 2.5 78% · Current selection Over。