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CHE Zwitserland - 1.Liga Promotion · Wedstrijd ·

Young Boys II vs Lugano II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–14.10 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst57%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst21%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Young Boys IILugano II
Expected goals4.10Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven78% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 22% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lugano II win (21.2%)Dubbele Kans1X78.8%1.27
Boven 78% · Onder 22%Goals 2.5Boven78%1.28
Ja 68% · Nee 32%Beide teams scorenJa68%1.47
4.10 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapYoung Boys II winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Young Boys II win57%1.751.6255.6%+1.4 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Lugano II win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Young Boys II2.83

Thuis share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals4.10Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 78% · Onder 22%

Lugano II1.27

Uit share of expected goals 31%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nee 32%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Young Boys II

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Lugano II

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
1
Points from supplied form
1
2.83
Expected goals
1.27
Young Boys IILugano II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Young Boys II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lugano II signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Young Boys II vs Lugano II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Young Boys II gewonnen 57%,Gelijkspel 22%,Lugano II gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.10 · Boven 2.5 78% · Current selection Boven