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CHE Svizzera - Promozione 1.Liga · Partita ·

Young Boys II vs Lugano II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–14.12 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa57%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Young Boys IILugano II
Expected goals4.12Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra78% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
57% / 22% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lugano II win (21.2%)Doppia Chance1X78.8%1.27
Sopra 78% · Sotto 22%Goals 2.5Sopra78%1.28
Sì 68% · No 32%Entrambe le squadre segnano68%1.47
4.12 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapYoung Boys II winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Young Boys II win57%1.751.6255.6%+1.4 pp
Pareggio22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Lugano II win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Young Boys II2.87

Casa share of expected goals 69.7%

Total expected goals4.12Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 78% · Sotto 22%

Lugano II1.25

Trasferta share of expected goals 30.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Young Boys II

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lugano II

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
1
Points from supplied form
1
2.87
Expected goals
1.25
Young Boys IILugano II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Young Boys II signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lugano II signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Young Boys II vs Lugano II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Young Boys II vinta 57%,Pareggio 22%,Lugano II vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.12 · Sopra 2.5 78% · Current selection Sopra