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CHE Szwajcaria - 1. Liga Promotion · Mecz ·

Young Boys II vs Lugano II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–14.12 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy57%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Young Boys IILugano II
Expected goals4.12Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej78% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
57% / 22% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lugano II win (21.2%)Podwójna szansa1X78.8%1.27
Powyżej 78% · Poniżej 22%Goals 2.5Powyżej78%1.28
Tak 68% · Nie 32%Obie drużyny strzeląTak68%1.47
4.12 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapYoung Boys II winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Young Boys II win57%1.751.6255.6%+1.4 pp
Remis22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Lugano II win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Young Boys II2.87

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.7%

Total expected goals4.12Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 78% · Poniżej 22%

Lugano II1.25

Goście share of expected goals 30.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 68% · Nie 32%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Young Boys II

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Lugano II

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
1
Points from supplied form
1
2.87
Expected goals
1.25
Young Boys IILugano II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Young Boys II signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lugano II signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Young Boys II vs Lugano II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Young Boys II wygrana 57%,Remis 22%,Lugano II wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.12 · Powyżej 2.5 78% · Current selection Powyżej