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SWE Sweden Damallsvenskan · Fixture ·

Pitea IF (W) vs BK Hacken (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win14%
Draw20%
Away win67%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win67% selection probability
Projected score1–2Pitea IF (W)BK Hacken (W)
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
14% / 20% / 67%Match resultAway win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pitea IF (W) win (13.7%)Double chanceX286.3%1.16
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
2.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapBK Hacken (W) winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pitea IF (W) win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp
Draw20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
BK Hacken (W) win67%1.491.3665.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pitea IF (W)0.56

Home share of expected goals 20.1%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

BK Hacken (W)2.22

Away share of expected goals 79.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pitea IF (W)

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

BK Hacken (W)

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Win probability excluding draw
67%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.56
Expected goals
2.22
Pitea IF (W)BK Hacken (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pitea IF (W) signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BK Hacken (W) signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Pitea IF (W) vs BK Hacken (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pitea IF (W) win 14%,Draw 20%,BK Hacken (W) win 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over