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SWE Sweden Damallsvenskan · Fixture ·

Djurgardens (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Away form
Home win69%
Draw19%
Away win12%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Djurgardens (W)IK Uppsala (W)
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
69% / 19% / 12%Match resultHome win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Uppsala (W) win (11.7%)Double chance1X88.3%1.13
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.97 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapDjurgardens (W) winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Djurgardens (W) win69%1.451.2770.1%-1.1 pp
Draw19%5.264.7518.7%+0.3 pp
IK Uppsala (W) win12%8.338.0011.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Djurgardens (W)1.92

Home share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

IK Uppsala (W)1.05

Away share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Djurgardens (W)

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

IK Uppsala (W)

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
1
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
1.05
Djurgardens (W)IK Uppsala (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Djurgardens (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Uppsala (W) signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Djurgardens (W) vs IK Uppsala (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Djurgardens (W) win 69%,Draw 19%,IK Uppsala (W) win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over