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SWE Sweden Damallsvenskan · Fixture ·

AIK (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–24.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw24%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score3–2AIK (W)Brommapojkarna (W)
Expected goals4.19Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over79% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 24% / 21%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brommapojkarna (W) win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Yes 74% · No 26%Both teams scoreYes74%1.35
4.19 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AIK (W) win54%1.851.6753.7%+0.3 pp
Draw24%4.173.6024.9%-0.9 pp
Brommapojkarna (W) win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AIK (W)2.61

Home share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals4.19Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%

Brommapojkarna (W)1.58

Away share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 74% · No 26%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AIK (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Brommapojkarna (W)

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.61
Expected goals
1.58
AIK (W)Brommapojkarna (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AIK (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brommapojkarna (W) signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

AIK (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AIK (W) win 54%,Draw 24%,Brommapojkarna (W) win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.19 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over