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SWE Sweden Damallsvenskan · Fixture ·

Vaxjo (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw24%
Away win46%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Vaxjo (W)FC Rosengård (W)
Expected goals3.14Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 24% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Double chance1275.6%1.32
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapFC Rosengård (W) winDifference-1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vaxjo (W) win29%3.453.2028.2%+0.8 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
FC Rosengård (W) win46%2.171.9047.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vaxjo (W)1.65

Home share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals3.14Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

FC Rosengård (W)1.49

Away share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Vaxjo (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Rosengård (W)

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.65
Expected goals
1.49
Vaxjo (W)FC Rosengård (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vaxjo (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Rosengård (W) signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Vaxjo (W) vs FC Rosengård (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vaxjo (W) win 29%,Draw 24%,FC Rosengård (W) win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over