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AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Fixture ·

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves vs The Cove FC Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw22%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–2Adelaide Croatia Raiders ReservesThe Cove FC Reserves
Expected goals3.70Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 22% / 31%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Double chance1277.6%1.29
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
3.70 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAdelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves win46%2.171.9146.8%-0.8 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
The Cove FC Reserves win31%3.232.9030.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves1.91

Home share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals3.70Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

The Cove FC Reserves1.79

Away share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

The Cove FC Reserves

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.91
Expected goals
1.79
Adelaide Croatia Raiders ReservesThe Cove FC Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02The Cove FC Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves vs The Cove FC Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves win 46%,Draw 22%,The Cove FC Reserves win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.70 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over