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AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Final ·

Salisbury United Reserves vs South Adelaide Reserves

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–3Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win12%
Draw22%
Away win66%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 66% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win66% selection probability
Projected score1–2Salisbury United ReservesSouth Adelaide Reserves
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
12% / 22% / 66%Match resultAway win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Salisbury United Reserves win (12.3%)Double chanceX287.7%1.14
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.97 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Salisbury United Reserves win12%8.33
Draw22%4.55
South Adelaide Reserves win66%1.52

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Salisbury United Reserves0.56

Home share of expected goals 18.9%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

South Adelaide Reserves2.41

Away share of expected goals 81.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Salisbury United Reserves

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

South Adelaide Reserves

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
12%
Win probability excluding draw
66%
0
Points from supplied form
11
0.56
Expected goals
2.41
Salisbury United ReservesSouth Adelaide Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Salisbury United Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Adelaide Reserves signalHome failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Salisbury United Reserves vs South Adelaide Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Salisbury United Reserves win 12%,Draw 22%,South Adelaide Reserves win 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over