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AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Fixture ·

Cumberland United Reserves vs Adelaide Olympic Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–25.96 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw20%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score4–2Cumberland United ReservesAdelaide Olympic Reserves
Expected goals5.96Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over94% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes88% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 20% / 28%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.2%)Double chance1279.8%1.25
Over 94% · Under 6%Goals 2.5Over94%1.06
Yes 88% · No 12%Both teams scoreYes88%1.14
5.96 total expected goalsCorrect score4–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Cumberland United Reserves win52%1.92
Draw20%5.00
Adelaide Olympic Reserves win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cumberland United Reserves3.58

Home share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals5.96Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 94% · Under 6%

Adelaide Olympic Reserves2.38

Away share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitYes 88% · No 12%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cumberland United Reserves

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Adelaide Olympic Reserves

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
11
Points from supplied form
6
3.58
Expected goals
2.38
Cumberland United ReservesAdelaide Olympic Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cumberland United Reserves signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Olympic Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Cumberland United Reserves vs Adelaide Olympic Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cumberland United Reserves win 52%,Draw 20%,Adelaide Olympic Reserves win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.96 · Over 2.5 94% · Current selection Over