MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Fixture ·

Eastern United Reserves vs Adelaide Atletico Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.14 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw24%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Eastern United ReservesAdelaide Atletico Reserves
Expected goals4.14Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes76% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 24% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Double chance1275.6%1.32
Over 78% · Under 22%Goals 2.5Over78%1.28
Yes 76% · No 24%Both teams scoreYes76%1.32
4.14 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Eastern United Reserves win35%2.86
Draw24%4.17
Adelaide Atletico Reserves win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Eastern United Reserves1.94

Home share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals4.14Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 78% · Under 22%

Adelaide Atletico Reserves2.20

Away share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 76% · No 24%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Eastern United Reserves

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Adelaide Atletico Reserves

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.94
Expected goals
2.20
Eastern United ReservesAdelaide Atletico Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Eastern United Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Atletico Reserves signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Eastern United Reserves vs Adelaide Atletico Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Eastern United Reserves win 35%,Draw 24%,Adelaide Atletico Reserves win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.14 · Over 2.5 78% · Current selection Over