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AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Spiel ·

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves vs The Cove FC - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.70 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score2–2Adelaide Croatia Raiders ReservesThe Cove FC - Reserve
Expected goals3.70Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 22% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Doppelte Chance1277.6%1.29
Über 71% · Unter 29%Goals 2.5Über71%1.41
Ja 71% · Nein 29%Beide Teams treffenJa71%1.41
3.70 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAdelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves win46%2.171.9146.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
The Cove FC - Reserve win31%3.232.9030.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves1.91

Heim share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals3.70Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 71% · Unter 29%

The Cove FC - Reserve1.79

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nein 29%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

The Cove FC - Reserve

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.91
Expected goals
1.79
Adelaide Croatia Raiders ReservesThe Cove FC - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02The Cove FC - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves vs The Cove FC - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 22%,The Cove FC - Reserve Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.70 · Über 2.5 71% · Current selection Über