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UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw27%
Away win28%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Expected goals3.24Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 27% / 28%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Double chance1273.2%1.37
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Barbastro win45%2.222.0045%
Draw27%3.703.3027.3%
Atletic Lleida win28%3.573.2527.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Barbastro1.81

Home share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals3.24Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Atletic Lleida1.43

Away share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UD Barbastro

2.33pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7

SignalHome unbeaten 3/3

Away-context · form sequence

Atletic Lleida

2.00pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.81
Expected goals
1.43
UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Barbastro signalHome unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletic Lleida signalHome clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Barbastro win 45%,Draw 27%,Atletic Lleida win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over