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UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite28%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Expected goals3.24Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 27% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doppia Chance1273.2%1.37
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 65% · No 35%Entrambe le squadre segnano65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Barbastro win45%2.222.0045%
Pareggio27%3.703.3027.3%
Atletic Lleida win28%3.573.2527.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Barbastro1.81

Casa share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals3.24Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Atletic Lleida1.43

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 65% · No 35%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

UD Barbastro

2.33pts / match
Giocate3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Punti7

SignalCasa unbeaten 3/3

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Atletic Lleida

2.00pts / match
Giocate4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Punti8

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.81
Expected goals
1.43
UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Barbastro signalCasa unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletic Lleida signalCasa clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Barbastro vinta 45%,Pareggio 27%,Atletic Lleida vinta 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra