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EUR Europe Friendlies · Meci ·

UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde45%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți28%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde45% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Expected goals3.25Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
45% / 27% / 28%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Șansă dublă1273.2%1.37
Peste 62% · Sub 38%Goals 2.5Peste62%1.61
Da 65% · Nu 35%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Barbastro win45%2.222.0045%
Egal27%3.703.3027.3%
Atletic Lleida win28%3.573.2527.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Barbastro1.82

Gazde share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals3.25Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 62% · Sub 38%

Atletic Lleida1.43

Oaspeți share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 65% · Nu 35%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

UD Barbastro

2.33pts / match
Jucate3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Puncte7

SignalGazde unbeaten 3/3

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Atletic Lleida

2.00pts / match
Jucate4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Puncte8

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Câștig probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.82
Expected goals
1.43
UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Barbastro signalGazde unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletic Lleida signalGazde clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Barbastro câștig 45%,Egal 27%,Atletic Lleida câștig 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Peste 2.5 62% · Current selection Peste