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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger28%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Expected goals3.25Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 27% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dubbelchans1273.4%1.36
Över 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Över62%1.61
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Barbastro win46%2.171.9545.8%
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.1%
Atletic Lleida win28%3.573.3027.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Barbastro1.83

Hemma share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals3.25Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 62% · Under 38%

Atletic Lleida1.42

Borta share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

UD Barbastro

2.33pts / match
Spelade3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Poäng7

SignalHemma unbeaten 3/3

Borta-context · form sequence

Atletic Lleida

2.00pts / match
Spelade4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Poäng8

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.83
Expected goals
1.42
UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Barbastro signalHemma unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletic Lleida signalHemma clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Barbastro vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 27%,Atletic Lleida vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Över 2.5 62% · Current selection Över