Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 23% / 23%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.5%)Double chance1277.5%1.29
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.71 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFC Cincinnati II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Philadelphia Union II win54%1.851.6753.7%+0.3 pp
Draw23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
FC Cincinnati II win23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 65.3%
Total expected goals2.71Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 34.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPhiladelphia Union II
DLDWL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchFC Cincinnati II
LDLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Win probability excluding draw
23%5
Points from supplied form
21.77
Expected goals
0.94Philadelphia Union IIFC Cincinnati II
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Philadelphia Union II win 54%，Draw 23%，FC Cincinnati II win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。