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INT USA MLS Next Pro League · Fixture ·

Portland Timbers II vs Los Angeles FC II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.99 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw24%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Portland Timbers IILos Angeles FC II
Expected goals2.99Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 24% / 26%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Double chance1275.9%1.32
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.99 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapLos Angeles FC II winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portland Timbers II win50%2.001.8050.1%-0.1 pp
Draw24%4.173.7524.1%-0.1 pp
Los Angeles FC II win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portland Timbers II1.80

Home share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.99Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Los Angeles FC II1.19

Away share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Portland Timbers II

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Los Angeles FC II

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
1.19
Portland Timbers IILos Angeles FC II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portland Timbers II signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Los Angeles FC II signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Portland Timbers II vs Los Angeles FC II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portland Timbers II win 50%,Draw 24%,Los Angeles FC II win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.99 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over